Industrial · updated September 2026
Our call · Our lean
The best risk-adjusted commercial bet on a 5-year view — but watch the incoming supply wave.

Is industrial property still a good investment in Australia in 2026?

On our model, industrial ranks as the best value of the major sectors on a five-year view, with the lowest modelled downside — the case rests on durable income and structural demand (logistics, e-commerce, onshoring) rather than a cheap entry price.

It's not a bargain in absolute terms — it screens mildly rich, so some softening is already in the price. The one thing to watch is supply: the new-build pipeline is rising, and a wave of new sheds is the main risk to rents and yields. Best value doesn't mean risk-free.

Why is industrial the strongest commercial sector?

Two reasons. Demand is structurally supported — logistics, warehousing and data-adjacent uses keep growing regardless of the office debate. And its income is durable, with long leases and fixed uplifts. That combination gives it the lowest modelled five-year downside on our read, even though yields are keen.

The precise numbers behind this — fair value, the exact gap, five-year forecasts and the downside scenarios — are in the model. Why our model is different →  ·  Get the free weekly brief →